MLB NL East Game Night Preview: Marlins vs Phillies
Playing well above their preseason longshot odds, Miami was posted with a +5000 World Series money line price in March, the Marlins are 49-42 overall and they are tied with the New York Mets for the final Wild Card spot in the National League. Miami is 8-4 in July and they won two of three matches against St. Louis on the weekend. The wins pushed the Marlins two games ahead of the Cardinals in the NL Wild Card race. Miami sits 11th overall with a 4.05 team earned run average.
Although they are seven games below the .500 mark, Philadelphia has played much better than their MLB worst +15000 preseason World Series money line price. The Phillies are 43-50 but they have posted a solid 11-5 record over their last 16 contests. Philadelphia went 4-2 against Miami, during six matches that were decided by two runs or less in May, with the Phillies outscoring the Marlins by a 24-22 margin. Philadelphia is second last in the Majors with 335 runs scored.
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MLB Betting Advice: Miami has a Decided Advantage in the Pitching Matchup Tonight
A big part of the Marlins success this season can be directly attributed to RHP Jose Fernandez (11-4 ERA 2.52) who heads to the hill for Miami tonight. Fernandez is third behind Max Scherzer (171) and Madison Bumgarner (155) with 154 strikeouts and he is seventh overall in the Majors with 1.02 WHIP mark. Fernandez has allowed zero earned runs during four of his last seven starts.
Struggling recently, RHP Aaron Nola (5-8 ERA 4.69) gets the call for Philadelphia here. Nola hasn’t made it past the fifth inning and the Phillies have been outscored by a 49-21 margin during his last five starts. During that stretch, Nola has allowed 27 runs over 18 innings pitched.
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