It’s getting to the point where Rory Mcilroy is one of the “Old guys on tour” these days. Spieth, Thomas, and Matsuyama are all in their early 20s and winning like I love this bet. Mainly because I love Adam Scott. He’s my default sleeper to win any tournament he plays in. He made a lot of leaderboards in 2017 and placed in the top 10 at the Masters last year. He also opened the season with 4 straight top 20 finishes leading up the to Masters.
He’s a lot easier to cheer for now that he’s not putting like an asshole. I’d say Augusta is his best chance to win a major, as crazy as it sounds. He’s won there before and plays the course well. That’s his only major. He’s been runner-up at the Open Championship and made the top 5 thrice. And he’s made 2 top 10s at the US Open and 4 top 10s at the PGA Championship.
Make him your sleeper pick to win the Masters, like I do, every single year.
An injury is really the only thing that can keep this guy from winning a major this year. When he’s on his game, I don’t think anyone can beat him. 2016, he was the player of the year, and in 2017, he still looked like the best player in the world during a stretch where he runner-upped the Wells Fargo Championship, won the World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship, won the Genesis Open, and came in third at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
For all of his recent good play, he’s still only got the one major win, at the US Open in 2016. Leading up to that win, he had placed 2nd and 4th the years prior. But the US Open was really a “meh” showing for him in 2017, as were all of his majors.
I like his odds of winning The US Open or the Open championship in 2018.
This one is a bit more interesting than the Scott bet. Stenson cemented his legacy in 2016 by winning the Open Championship. Not much on the major front since then. He tied for 11th at the Open this year and tied for 13th at the PGA. He missed the cut at the Masters and US Open. But he’s always a threat.
A real mixed bag in 2017 for Stenson. With the exception of the BMW to end the year (where he placed 51st), he either missed the cut or placed top 20 in every other PGA event. Literally nothing in between.
He’s got the same odds as Scott, but I’d say he doesn’t have nearly the chance.
This one seems inevitable. Matsuyama was nothing short of awesome in 2017. He’s 25 and he’s already placed top 6 at every major so far. But he hasn’t broken through just yet.
He played a lot and placed a lot in 2017. He made 19 cuts in 22 starts. He also cashed in for 3 wins on the year (two of them being back-to-back) and made 7 top 10s overall. But he looked out of gas when the time came for the FedEx playoffs. Or, he simply didn't have his A-game.
I’m saying he has as good (or better) odds than DJ of winning any major this year. He’s that good. But I’d love to see him play a slightly lighter schedule to keep himself fresh. He earned over 8.3 million on The Tour last year... He’s doing just fine.
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